Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.096251 0.111297 0.127909 0.147612 0.170345 0.195754 0.226322
2025-12-21 0.072479 0.092675 0.117273 0.149439 0.190412 0.240894 0.307889
2025-12-28 0.061474 0.084399 0.114328 0.156264 0.213555 0.289170 0.396734
2026-01-04 0.053211 0.077412 0.110843 0.160398 0.232064 0.332098 0.482676
2026-01-11 0.046914 0.071760 0.107800 0.163888 0.249098 0.373937 0.571270
2026-01-18 0.041444 0.066301 0.103966 0.165193 0.262398 0.411106 0.656677
2026-01-25 0.036269 0.060446 0.098572 0.163064 0.269652 0.439282 0.730813
2026-02-01 0.031381 0.054322 0.091859 0.157737 0.270749 0.457296 0.789979
2026-02-08 0.028717 0.051506 0.090101 0.160210 0.284739 0.497439 0.890095
2026-02-15 0.026135 0.048469 0.087545 0.160870 0.295456 0.532853 0.985616
2026-02-22 0.024119 0.046170 0.085959 0.162957 0.308748 0.573875 1.095382
2026-03-01 0.021622 0.042662 0.081760 0.159678 0.311657 0.596198 1.172635
2026-03-08 0.019544 0.039743 0.078397 0.157721 0.317089 0.624251 1.265076
2026-03-15 0.018147 0.038002 0.077097 0.159649 0.330346 0.668759 1.395259
2026-03-22 0.017465 0.037621 0.078412 0.166939 0.355127 0.738470 1.584353
2026-03-29 0.016547 0.036629 0.078360 0.171355 0.374390 0.798940 1.760926
2026-04-05 0.015647 0.035562 0.078018 0.175083 0.392547 0.858913 1.943101
2026-04-12 0.014631 0.034113 0.076690 0.176477 0.405706 0.909505 2.110195
2026-04-19 0.013426 0.032091 0.073878 0.174202 0.410342 0.941837 2.239509
2026-04-26 0.012097 0.029622 0.069787 0.168512 0.406453 0.954562 2.324640
2026-05-03 0.011467 0.028748 0.069265 0.171154 0.422433 1.014447 2.528466
2026-05-10 0.010765 0.027613 0.068004 0.171859 0.433799 1.064626 2.714250
2026-05-17 0.010213 0.026787 0.067392 0.174088 0.449135 1.125844 2.934275